Tuesday's settlements against Friday's: $9.83 of premium out of the January contract in two sessions, on statements — the strait stayed shut for a 247th day.
| Series | As printed |
|---|---|
| Brent — January contract, Tuesday settlement | $103.60 |
| Brent — January contract, Friday settlement | $113.43 |
| WTI — Tuesday settlement | $96.09 |
| WTI — Friday settlement | $104.12 |
| Brent–WTI spread — Tuesday | $7.51 |
Source: Geopolitical & Policy Risk Wednesday edition, Nov 4 — Daily Charts, settlements as printed.
A second, smaller crude decline on Doha vocabulary, while the Nasdaq snapped three days of falls and the Dow fell alone into the count.
| Series | As printed |
|---|---|
| Brent, January contract | -1.12% |
| WTI | -0.38% |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | -0.38% |
| S&P 500 | +0.36% |
| Nasdaq Composite | +0.83% |
Source: Geopolitical & Policy Risk Wednesday edition, Nov 4 — Daily Charts and Tuesday's numbers, as printed.
Tuesday's settlement at $103.60 holds Monday's break below the band for a second session — the band's validating condition below it was a recovery in Hormuz transits toward ~85 a day, which has still not been counted. The desk holds the scoring rule it printed.
| Series | As printed |
|---|---|
| Brent, January contract — the desk's range for the week | $106 → $120 |
Source: Geopolitical & Policy Risk Wednesday edition, Nov 4 — the desk's band, scored on Tuesday's tape, as printed.
Final count, certified — nobody at 61; the results go to President Herzog today, consultations begin today, and the president has seven days to assign the task of forming a government.
Compare note: in the Against the line view, bars that fall short of 61 — needed to govern are dimmed; every figure is unchanged.
| Series | As printed |
|---|---|
| Netanyahu's bloc | 53 |
| The opposition | 48 |
| Arab-led parties | 19 |
Source: Geopolitical & Policy Risk Wednesday edition, Nov 4 — the standing files, count as printed.
Every figure exactly as the edition prints it: the closure count, the last counted transit day, the early-vote final, and Tuesday's data prints.
| Reading, as printed | |
|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz closure — days, by the desk's count, on Tuesday | 247 |
| Hormuz transits — October 25, the last counted day | 2 |
| US early ballots — final count carried into the vote | 51.31 million |
| Job openings — September (JOLTS) | 7.523M |
| Factory orders — September | +1.8% |
| VIX — Tuesday close | 20.83 |
| Gold, December contract — Tuesday settlement | $3,940.40 |
| 10-year US borrowing rate — Tuesday close | 4.95% |
| RBA cash rate — from Wednesday | 4.85% |
Source: Geopolitical & Policy Risk Wednesday edition, Nov 4 — Daily Charts, the count that frames the week, as printed.